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2024-12-13 11:31:44

Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.The central bank's open market today launched a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 205.1 billion yuan, and the operating interest rate was flat at 1.50%. Today, 190.9 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase expired, and the net investment on that day was 14.2 billion yuan.In the exchange market, the national debt rose the most, with "National Debt 2404" rising more than 4%, "National Debt 23", "Special Country 24 03" and "Special Country 24 01" rising nearly 1%.


Food stocks fell at the beginning of the day, and food stocks fell at the beginning, and food stocks fell at the beginning, and Jialong shares, Anji Food, Huang Shanghuang, three squirrels, and Barbie Foods followed suit.Microsoft: The latest small language model PHI-4, which is specially used for complex reasoning, is introduced.The weighted share price index of Taiwan Stock Exchange opened 0.2% lower at 23,002.37.


The central parity of RMB against the US dollar was reported at 7.1876, down by 22 points; The median price of the previous trading day was 7.1854, the official closing price of the previous trading day was 7.2630, and it closed at 7.2700 last night.Klarna, a Swedish payment company, said that it stopped recruiting hundreds of employees because of AI during the year. Sebastian Siemiatkowski, CEO of Klarna, a Swedish payment company planning to go public in the US, said that the company stopped recruiting a year ago, mainly because it invested in artificial intelligence (AI), which can replace the work of hundreds of employees in the company. According to Siemiatkowski, the number of employees decreased by 22% to 3,500 within one year, mainly due to brain drain. He pointed out that at present, about 200 employees in the company use artificial intelligence for their core work, and will improve the efficiency of artificial intelligence by accelerating the salary growth of employees.Maotai Group had an exchange discussion with Huawei. Kweichow Moutai official news on December 13th. On December 12th, Zhang Pingan, managing director of Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd. and CEO of Huawei Cloud, visited Maotai and held an exchange discussion with Zhang Deqin, Party Secretary and Chairman of Maotai Group.

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